Are draft success stories the product of the player drafted or the team that drafts that player?
It’s a question I’ve been grappling with pretty much since 4 p.m. on Tuesday, when teams were required to make their cuts to 53. In the last week, we’ve seen a third-rounder (Jets WO Malachi Corley), a fourth-rounder (Patriots OG Layden Robinson) and several fifth-rounders (Denver OH Audric Estime as well as Miami FS Patrick McMorris and OB Mohamed Kamara), not to mention a fifth-rounder from this year’s draft in Chris Paul, formerly of the Rams. There are several others drafted on Day 3 that also got the axe. Should they have gotten a longer leash? Or was it the picks themselves? Ultimately, do teams deserve more credit for what happens on draft day, or for what happens after draft day?
It’s a good question, but today, I want to take it from the top with this question: which teams are best at developing their talent, regardless of who they draft?
To find out, I did what I usually do: I asked several of my scouting friends. You can read the comments from several of them in today’s Friday Wrap, which comes out at 7:30 p.m. (register here).
Here’s one that was a bit more involved than the others, so I decided to include the whole thing (with a few minor edits).
“Three teams in recent years come to my mind in no particular order.
- “The Rams — who embodied the “(screw) those draft picks” philosophy — went all in and won a Super Bowl. They developed a unique approach, using the ‘super powers’ of their scouting staff to find the ‘super powers’ of draft choices and free agents. The proof is winning ITL’s Best Draft Award and hitting on late draft choices and UFA’s.
- “The Lions have also done a good job of drafting through all rounds of the draft and sticking to what they like and how they see players. It appears they have no confirmation bias within the organization. While you can say they are from the Rams family tree, I think GM Brad Holmes (who arrived from Los Angeles) has his own values and different ‘super powers’ that sets his team apart from the Rams, but with similarities. You can point out the failure of QB Hendon Hooker, but as I say in scouting, you have not scouted until you got a player wrong!
- “Lastly, the Ravens have always been consistent in their batting average through the years with draft choices and particular with UDFAs.
“Some of the traditionally strong teams appear to have lost their willingness to draft and develop, going with a “band-aid” approach, i.e., signing free agents; this is usually due to a leadership change. These teams are chasing immediate success vs. sustainable success. Time will tell if they were right.
“One last thing. One study in my career was that around 60 UDFAs make a 53-man roster each year. That’s roughly two per team. The teams that consistently find these players are elite franchises. All three of these teams (Los Angeles, Detroit and Baltimore) excel in this area.”
If this topic intrigues you, and learning which teams are most respected around the league for the job they each do after draft day, make sure to check out today’s Wrap. These three teams aren’t the only ones who got kudos from evaluators around the league.