We’re a little more than a month out from the draft, so that means there’s going to be a lot of talk of scouting, what scouts are doing, how scouts get their jobs (and lose their jobs), etc. There have been some dumb posts on social media already, and there are more to come. Here are a few things to remember as the topic of player evaluation comes up in the coming weeks/months.
- Scouts tend to get released after the draft: Contracts typically are for two years and run through the end of April (sometimes May). That’s why a lot of people tend to watch our Twitter a little more closely in May. I can tell you there have already been some scouts released that haven’t been made public yet, but generally speaking, the turnover is going to start in May and will (mostly) be over by the end of June.
- A fired scout does not equal a bad scout: Every year, we publish that a scout was let go by a team and fans get on social media and rejoice. It’s celebration day! Their favorite team has finally cut out the cancer! No, not really. More often than not, that scout got priced off the team. He’s not GM timber, he’s making well into six figures, and the team needs that money to pay its new analytics hire, or to give someone else a bump. The scout that gets let go didn’t do anything wrong. He’s just too expensive. For this reason, I’ve gotten used to seeing 3-4 good scouts terminated every year. I used to scratch my head when this happened. I don’t anymore. It’s simple economics.
- Dismissals are independent of that year’s draft: I used to have this on a pinned tweet, but no owner (or GM) comes in the first day of May, declares that the team’s draft sucked, designates a certain evaluator as having done a poor job, and casts him onto the unemployment line. Decisions have already been made on which scouts will be dismissed this summer. We (and they) just have to wait to find out who they are.
- Executive-level scouts are often called to cover pro days because no one else is available: This is important when you hear that a team’s Director of College Scouting attended a school’s pro day. It doesn’t necessarily mean that team is super-interested in one of that school’s players. There’s a LOT of ground to cover in March. It takes everyone.
- A Top-30 visit doesn’t mean a team is drafting a player (or even considering it): This is pretty obvious, but still bears saying. The thing to understand is, most teams won’t sign a player unless he’s had a physical. So if a kid didn’t go to the Combine, a team might be bringing him in simply to get some answers, medically.
If you read our blog regularly, you probably already know these things, but maybe you didn’t. Well, now you do. Enjoy the draft.