Rumblings and Buzz from a Busy Football Week

Man, it’s been a busy week, and there was a lot we didn’t have time to get into our Rep Rumblings (or give proper attention to). Here’s a look at some of this week’s developments in the business of college and pro football.

  • You don’t often see agents change firms after Halloween, but Evan Brennan has, moving from UA Sports to JL Sports. His arrival gives JL 10 NFLPA-certified contract advisors. Agency owner Joe Linta, who was 18th among all agents with 31 active NFL clients on our last count, gets a hard-working presence in the Northwest who continually turns up Day 3/UDFA types that beat the odds. Per NFLPA rolls, Brennan, who was certified in 2013, had 11 active clients as of this month.
  • Also getting a new address is Arlington, Va.-based Chitta Mallik, who’s taking his 16 years of experience to Jordan Sports Group, headed by newly certified contract advisor Miles Jordan. Jordan has already built a thriving NIL presence, and Mallik arrives to give his firm a veteran league presence. We’re told Mallik isn’t the only agent arriving from Dreampoint Sports; also advising Jordan Sports Group will be Tony Paige, who co-founded Dreampoint. Paige, a nine-year NFL playing veteran, has been in NFL player representation since 1994. Mallik and Paige were also previously with Vanguard Sports Group.
  • In an era where the costs of player representation are going up and up, it’s become commonplace for smaller agencies to develop affiliations. Some of them are highly informal, but others involve LLCs, contracts and specialized language. It’s a little more trouble, but sometimes it pays off, as it did for Premier Athlete Advisors LLC, which recently won a legal victory over its previous partner firm, Enter-Sports MGT LLC. Though the NFLPA continually pushes licensed contract advisors to settle their difference through its grievance process, time and again, agents complain that their rulings don’t resolve things. The people at Premier set up their venture with Enter-Sports as an agreement between LLCs, taking things outside the bounds of the Players Association. Enter-Sports is now on the hook for almost $38,000, per the story.
  • We try to interview a former NFL scout each week as part of our Catching Up feature in the Friday Wrap, and this week, it’s former Broncos, Chiefs and Vikings scout Roger Jackson (he also had a five-year playing career). Most scouts who retire from the job ride off into the sunset, playing golf and chasing grandkids. Not Roger, who instead saw a need for helping underprivileged kids in his hometown of Macon, Ga. He founded the Motivating Youth Foundation 18 years ago, and it’s made a difference in countless lives. To keep it going, instead of enjoying retirement, he knocks on doors. “I can raise money,” he said with a laugh this week. “I beg. And I’ll come back next week. ‘Thought you might have changed your mind.’ Until they say, ‘we gotta give this joker something, or he’s gonna come back next week,’ and I sure am.” Make sure to check out our interview with Roger in tomorrow’s Friday Wrap.
  • Our November Zoom session for ITL clients was Wednesday, and in it, we highlighted the density of all-star competition from Jan. 4-11. In the first week-and-a-half of the year, NFL teams will be tasked with covering the FCS Showcase in Nashville (Jan. 4-5); the Hula Bowl in Central Florida (Jan. 5-10); the Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 8) and Peach Bowl (Jan. 9) as part of the College Football Playoffs; and the College Gridiron Showcase and Dream Bowl, both in the Metroplex Jan. 9-11. It’s a dilemma for scouting staffs, and we discussed how teams are planning on covering things (or not covering them) in Tuesday’s post.

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The NFL in November: A Look at the Numbers

Every year, we try to really drill down into NFL rosters, listing every player by his hometown and high school, college and conference, and a number of other categories. Once that’s done (it took us a little longer than expected this year), it’s interesting to take a look at the state of the league by finding out which schools and conferences are the leaders in different categories.

Here are a few things I found interesting.

Which state do most NFL players come from?: No surprise, it’s Texas with 285. Also no surprise — the two closest states are Florida (253) and California (232). Fourth-highest? Maybe it’s not that surprising that it’s Georgia (194). After that, there’s a pretty big drop-off to fifth-place North Carolina (106). By the way, Louisiana was tied for sixth. Not bad for a pretty small state.

Which school has the most NFL players?: It’s Ohio State (71), followed by Alabama (66), Georgia (61), Notre Dame (58) and LSU (53). You look at the preponderance of NFL talent in the Bayou State, along with the number who went to LSU, and you begin to see why Brian Kelly is no longer the Tigers’ head coach.

Which conference has the most NFL players?: Again, no surprises that the SEC (579) and Big Ten (560) rule the roost, followed by the ACC (364) and Big 12 (261). Actually, I’m a little surprised that the ACC is so far ahead of the Big 12, but I guess that’s a reflection of the exits of Texas and Oklahoma. The more interesting thing is that the American (formerly American Athletic) Conference is way out front among the G5 schools (90). The Mountain West is next (76), then the MAC (70), Sun Belt (66) and Conference USA (63).

Where’s the best place to go to find offensive linemen?: The O-line is the hardest position to stock in the NFL these days, so we keep a pretty close eye on where the guys up front come from. We found out Ohio State (duh) leads the way with 15 tackles, guards and centers, followed by Georgia (13); LSU, Michigan, Notre Dame and Oklahoma (12); Alabama (11); and Oregon and Penn State (10).

As far as conferences, the Big Ten edges the SEC, 113-106. After that, it’s the ACC (60) and Big 12 (50) on the P4 level. As for G5 conferences, it’s the American (21); MAC (15); Mountain West (14); and CUSA and Sun Belt (13). Once again, the American comes out in front of the rest of the G5 by a pretty wide margin, relatively speaking. It will probably stay that way until Memphis and South Florida get admitted into a P4 conference, as they both hope to do.

Which school has the most wide receivers?: After counting the pure power players (i.e., offensive linemen), I wanted to get a measure of which schools were home to most pure speed players. I chose wide receivers to be the gauge. Once again, Ohio State came out on top, tying with Ole Miss (9). Pretty crazy that one team has such a wealth of talent across the board. After the Buckeyes and Rebels, it’s Alabama, LSU and Texas (7); then Georgia, Stanford, TCU, Tennessee and USC (6); then Clemson, Florida, North Carolina, Notre Dame, USC and Texas A&M (5); and eight teams that tied with four.

As far as conferences, the SEC (69) comes out pretty well ahead of the Big Ten (58). Then it’s the ACC (42) and the Big 12 (36). Among the G5, it’s the Mountain West (13).

If you dig this kind of thing, make sure to check out our Friday Wrap newsletter, in which we look at which NFL teams did the best at evaluating talent, based on current NFL rosters. You can register for it here.

Points of Interest Following Conversations with Multiple College Personnel Staffers

There was a time when pretty much everyone working in a college football personnel office aspired to work in the League. That’s not the case anymore, and that was underlined this weekend as I spent a few days talking to personnel staffers at local schools or who were in town for games this weekend.

The people working in higher-level positions on college personnel staffs are highly knowledgeable of the life and work of today’s area scout, and they are none too excited about taking such a position. Too much volatility, not enough power, not enough pay. The people I spoke to would instead want some kind of administrative position that also gave them say in personnel decisions and the ability to make their own evaluations. That’s just not how the NFL is set up, which is why the enthusiasm for going to the pros is waning, at least based on the conversations I’ve had and am having. Ironically, more area scouts than ever are asking me if I’ve heard of any college jobs they might be able to fill.

Also interesting:

  • Schools are sending more members of their evaluation team out on the road to see players in person, closer to a simulation of the NFL model. The problem they’re running into is that they are limited in the number they can send out, and those people must be designated in advance with the compliance office. If there’s one change that seems unanimous, schools would like to see the rules eased so they can do more in-person scouting. 
  • One thing I learned that was surprising: we’re starting to see college grads who didn’t work in a personnel office during their pre-degree days begin to volunteer in a different school’s personnel office (for free, remember) in an effort to get hired somewhere. Often, they move in with a relative within driving distance of a school, grind tape and do whatever they have to do, and work until an opportunity arrives. Very interesting. Schools are seeking out potential volunteers by sifting through LinkedIn and social media.
  • The CAC is still a thing, though in these days when players are staying in college longer than ever, it doesn’t seem to play such a crucial role. 
  • Executives I spoke to said he’s happy to work with NIL agents, and even encourages these relationships. He only wishes there was some kind of regulating body that maintained standards. 
  • We in Texas think of the Metroplex (Fort Worth and Dallas) as one big city, almost, but it’s not. In fact, some schools only recruit from different regions of the Fort Worth/Dallas megalopolis, and don’t like the makeup of players from other sections. One Metroplex school recruits Houston more heavily than it does Dallas. 
  • With the new portal window in early January, December looks like it will be similar to the NFL’s “legal tampering” period, only it will be a month instead of a week. That’s unlucky for the teams in bowl play but a big benefit for the CFP teams that will still be playing in January. It’s going to be especially warmly received by G5 schools who’ve grown accustomed to P4 schools picking off starters in late May. Try finding a key corner, left tackle or outside receiver a week before summer training starts. Especially one you can’t pay. 
  • One downside of the new January portal window, at least in Texas, is that state schools begin the new semester two days (I think) before the portal closes. No enrollment equals no eligibility, so Lone Star State colleges are really going to have to move quickly to close deals, then get players registered for classes, in the space of just a few days.
  • One way bigger schools are getting away with staying under the rev-share cap, but getting talented high school players in, is by paying them their Year 1 NIL share before they get to campus. Some high schoolers are getting $800,000 lump sum payments that don’t count against the $20.5 million as long as they are done post-graduation and pre-enrollment.
  • There is still a small number of NFL agents working in the portal, relatively speaking. I spoke to one official who had only dealt with two NFLPA-certified contract advisors over the past year. Here’s another phenomenon: we’re starting to see college staffers quit, then immediately turn into portal agents representing the players at the school where they formerly worked. Unethical, maybe, but totally legal.
  • While some players have a big week on the field and then try immediately to turn that into NIL dollars, the G5 GM I spoke to this weekend basically said he’d like to see one of his school’s players try that. Hopefully, as the market of players grows, the number of outlandish asks will be reduced.
  • There will not be a Big 12 Combine this year, we’re told. That’s a big story, as the conference had tried for two years (despite scouts’ protests) to aggregate its schools’ March workouts into one made-for-TV event. It was never as efficient as hoped, and didn’t score ratings. Now, apparently, it’s officially gone. 
  • There seems to be a dissatisfaction with Hudl, both from a cost standpoint (the company recently raised its prices) and a services standpoint (limited expansion of new services). That’s not stopping anyone from subscribing, though. It’s a must-have if you want to be part of college football, one official insisted, and it’s true. It has no competition and a tremendous head start on anyone else trying to get into the space.

The dialogue isn’t over. Want to continue the conversation? Register for the Friday Wrap, which is free and comes out this evening.

Do All-Star Games Still Matter?

This week, we started our annual all-star game Zoom series. Tuesday, I hosted, discussing all six major games this cycle and providing insights on each. There’s a lot you need to know, from how to get a player into a game to when to be there to what to expect when you arrive. Tonight, we host Jose Jefferson from the College Gridiron Showcase and Jim Collins from the Tropical Bowl, and each will go into detail on their respective events.

But is it all worth it? In the era of the 12-game regular season, in a time when most small-school “sleepers” have long since transferred to bigger schools, in a day when there’s more access to film than ever, do we still need postseason games? I say yes. Here’s why.

Rotational players: It’s true that more G5 and sub-FBS players are transferring “up” to P4 programs, but that doesn’t mean they’re getting the reps they need. Playing every other series or every other snap is not conducive to registering on NFL radar screens. All-star games give you exposure you need.

Interviews, etc.: North Carolina head coach Bill Belichick openly tells Patriots evaluators to stay away. Meanwhile, in our Friday Wrap newsletter, each week we have quotes from scouts talking about schools that limit access to practices, or who force scouts into classroom settings to ask questions about players that draw bland, safe answers. All-star settings are no-spin zones. Done correctly, a player can win over a scout just by having a sit-down with him.

Players from remote areas: The fact of the matter is that scouts do not visit all schools equally, or even all schools. No matter how many resources are devoted to finding hidden gems, there are still those who slip under the radar, especially if you play in the West/Northwest, the plains area, etc. Typically, you have fewer scouts in those areas, and often, they are less-experienced. It’s easy to overlook players. It’s also hard for a younger scout to really “stand on the table” for an unheralded player. But if that player shows out at an all-star game, he might move into “writeable” territory.

Scouts are there: I used to attend the Cactus Bowl in the early 2000s, an all-star game specifically for Division II players that was held in Kingsville, Texas, which is close to saying “we don’t want anyone to actually show up here” as is possible. I mean, no one accidentally shows up in Kingsville. Still, to my recollection, all 32 teams showed up and stuck around for a couple days. The point is, when you make it easy for an NFL team to evaluate players, they’ll usually take advantage of that. So even if it’s a small game, if scouts are sure there will be players there, they’ll probably roll in and watch. That means opportunity for the invitees.

If you’re a new agent and want to learn more about this critical part of the evaluation process, we can help. A lot. Give us a shot by signing up for Inside the League or registering for our free newsletter, the Friday Wrap.

Are NFL Front Offices Getting Smaller?

Today in the Friday Wrap, we’ll conduct our annual fall breakdown of NFL front offices. We’ll look at how their respective college scouting staffs stack up against their pro scouting and analytics staffs, track growth (or reduction) of each, look at where teams are directing their budgets, and otherwise try to sift out the trends.

Based on my observations over the last 24-48 hours, here’s the takeaway: NFL teams are trying to do more with less, at least as it relates to actual, traditional members of the front office. I’ll get into why this is in a minute, but this shouldn’t catch you off-guard if you’ve been following the league for the last few years. Consider:

  • More and more owners are coming from non-football backgrounds.
  • They’re business first, and less about the game for its sports value and more for its entertainment value (there’s a difference).
  • They want to see a return on investment, and that’s probably defensible given how leveraged most of them have to be simply to buy a team.
  • Making money depends on spending less, and generally speaking, that means spending less on your workforce. This is one reason only 10 teams are still in the pension program, as of earlier this year. If you think about it, it’s incredible that 32 companies that are printing money are too cheap to provide a lasting financial commitment to the 20-or-so employees they have in their respective front offices.
  • There’s also the Covid effect. When lockdowns closed the country in the spring of 2020, the NFL changed how it did its evolution, but football didn’t grind to a halt. I think a lot of teams (especially owners and bean-counters) did a lot of thinking after that.

So why do I say the “human element” of scouting is in decline?

  • Let’s start with the average size of an NFL scouting staff. For the first time since we started tracking things in 2021, the mean size of NFL scouting staffs decreased slightly (from 23.81 in 2024 to 23.47). It’s not much, but it’s significant after staffs were growing by about a scout a year in 2022-23.
  • In 2024, only three teams (Chiefs, Bengals and Dolphins) had fewer than four area scouts. This year, there are four (the Rams, with just one staffer designated as an “area scout,” have just one). Granted, titles aren’t uniform across the league, and teams break up duties in different ways, but this is still notable.
  • It’s anecdotal, but in my work gathering the information to put together our Scouts by Area Grid (an annual board listing the specific scouts each of the 32 teams uses to cover areas of the country), I found out that a handful of teams still haven’t made even one visit to some of the bigger schools in the country. It’s mid-October. That’s amazing.

So what other trends are apparent? We’ll be discussing it all in today’s Friday Wrap, which comes out this evening (7:30 p.m. EST). If scouting is your life goal, or if the business of the NFL is an interest, I hope you’ll check it out. Register here.

Studying the Draft (and Why One Team Does It Better Than Most)

I try to keep a detailed breakdown of the entire league at all times, listing not just the players in the league with their positions and teams, but also which team drafted them, which schools they came from, that kind of thing. This week, as I cleaned up my files going back to 2021, I dug into the numbers a bit and found a few things to be of special interest.

  • Going back to the 2021 draft (1,664 players as of Week 3 of the 2025 season), of the 159 first-rounders since 2021, 154 are still active. That’s to be expected.
  • The top five among still-active former draftees is not a big surprise. Leading the way is Green Bay with 43, followed in second place by the Ravens, Jaguars and 49ers (40 each); third place, the Texans, Rams and Seahawks (38 each); fourth-place Patriots (37); and Cardinals, Cowboys, Colts and Eagles tied with 36 each. Obviously, a number of these teams are perennial Super Bowl contenders.
  • The leading position drafted since 2021 is also no surprise, and it’s not close: offensive lineman (200). That’s the one place, the offensive line, that’s especially hard to find in free agency. After that, it’s cornerbacks (139) and wide receivers (130), followed by linebackers (124), a generous majority of which would be edge rushers. No other position was drafted more than 100 times.

However, here’s what I found to be most interesting.

The least popular position on draft day is punters and kickers, but the second-least popular is quarterbacks (just 47 drafted since 2021). Of the 47, 17 went in the first round, more than a third. To me, that shows that modern teams (a) are looking for the quick fix that drafting a QB can sometimes bring, and (b) QB development is probably not a high priority.

In other words, when you draft a passer on Day 1, you’re hoping he pays off immediately without a lot of hand-holding. This is especially interesting when you consider what former Packers scout Brandian Ross said in this week’s edition of the Scouting the League Podcast (sorry, no video yet). One time, when Brandian was speaking to former Packers GM Ron Wolf, Wolf compared drafting quarterbacks to buying insurance: you do it before you need it. It’s that patience, that willingness to deal with the discomfort of having your starting QB on the roster as well as his successor, that make the Packers successful. The transition from Favre to Rodgers to Love has made plenty of headlines, but to always be in the Super Bowl conversation, it’s the price that must be paid.

We’ll look at the draft and everything else that makes the NFL special in today’s Friday Wrap, which comes out this evening. Make sure you’re registered for it, which you can do here.

On Mock Drafts in the Post-Shedeur Era

Since 2017, we have tracked seven of the more established draft services as they’ve provided first-round projections in the months leading up to the end of April. It’s a fun exercise if you don’t take it too seriously (though I’ve had a key member of one front office tell me he uses it to make sure he’s not missing anyone).

At any rate, the accuracy and, really, the basic validity of draft experts and their mocks was called into question last spring when we all watched Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders go from a consensus top-10 pick to a Day 3 guy. All seven services we surveyed the week before the draft (sorry, pay link) had him going inside the first 21 picks, and four had him in the top 10 (two had him at No. 3, two had him at 9). Now those of us who know Tom Brady’s story (or, for that matter, the stories of Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott or Brock Purdy) also know that Day 3 selection is not an NFL death sentence. The point is, NFL decision-makers varied significantly with what the draft experts thought they thought last spring.

It’s with this in mind that I reached out to several friends in the league to get an in-season consensus on some of the players who were the top-rated prospects in our first way-too-early mock draft sweep in June (sorry, pay link again). In our first look at things, seven players — Ohio State’s Caleb Downs, Clemson’s T.J. Parker and Peter Woods, Alabama’s Kadyn Proctor, Texas’ Anthony Hill, LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier and Notre Dame’s Jeremiyah Love — showed up on all seven mocks. Before I compiled the seven services’ mocks this time, I decided to ask around about two of the players that everyone agreed was a first-rounder, Downs and Nussmeier. What I found out fascinated me.

In some ways, Downs matches up with what the draft experts said in June: supremely talented guy from a blue-blood program who would be a difference-maker in any system. On the other hand, the teams I spoke to were pretty adamant that he’s not a No. 1 overall guy, and probably not a top-five guy, either, mainly because of the position he plays. They like him in the top 10, but he’s far from a guy who’ll be the top pick (as one service predicted in June) or the second (as two other services predicted). Still, the draft services positively nailed Downs compared to how far off they were on Nussmeier.

When I started asking around about the LSU passer, scouts’ the enthusiasm in scouts’ voices immediately waned. They said things like “entitled,” “average arm,” “coach’s kid but doesn’t act like one,” and things of that nature. Not one of the teams I spoke to even had him in the first round, much less No. 1 overall. I don’t want to be overly critical of him, and there’s still time for things to change, but he’s trending much closer to Shedeur than Cam Ward at this point.

Look, I don’t want to beat up on these services too much. Obviously, things are evolving, and even NFL scouts have changed their minds about things they thought they thought this summer. Still, if you read today’s Friday Wrap to get a sample of who’s in the first-round conversation (and I hope you do — register here if you don’t already receive it), have fun with it, but take it all with a generous grain of salt. That’s not just because it’s Oct. 3, but because there are still secrets teams keep from the draft services. And that’s OK.

Remembering Bobby Grier

Longtime NFL scouting executive Bobby Grier passed away this week. I didn’t know him, but I was fortunate enough to meet him briefly when he kindly submitted to an interview for the Friday Wrap a few years back. The mere fact that he helped me out, when he didn’t know me (and when so many people who do know me decline to be interviewed), made me want to reach out to a few friends to get a better sense of who he was.

Over the last day, I’ve gathered quotes from a few friends. Here’s what they said about Coach Grier.

  • “I thought Bobby was a fine human being – a pleasant, quiet, mild-mannered person. With a good work ethic. When I first went to New England, I think It was ‘83, Bobby was the running backs coach, and when that staff was fired, and the pro guy retired, and Bill Parcells came in, Bobby had a couple years left on his contact as RB coach, (Patriots owner) Mr. (Robert) Kraft encouraged (Parcells) to keep him on, so he became the pro scout. He did one hell of a job. I worked with him for two years after that, and then I left for Chicago. . . My friend (who worked for the Texans) told me he did one hell of a job with the Houston Texans. He was a real fine fellow. . . Mild-mannered, hard worker, and he knew football players.” – Longtime NFL (Seahawks, Browns, Patriots, Bears and Vikings) scout Charles Garcia
  • “I first met Bobby while working out during summers at BC’s weight room with my high school teammate (Boston College All-American and All-Pro Bills NT Fred Smerlas). Although I played for an opponent, UMass, at that time, Bobby let it slide and just told me that I should pick better company (haha). Bobby was with the Patriots when I began representing players. He obviously knew the game well from his playing and coaching experience, and was excelling at personnel then, also. In addition to recognizing superior talent to survive in the NFL, Bobby always emphasized finding players with an inner drive, and valued the muscle above the shoulders, as well. His strong endorsement on Tom Brady was just one prime example. Were it not for Bobby, I never would have joined the Patriots, as it was his recommendation to the Krafts that opened the door for me. He was a great human being with a very strong devotion to family, fairness and integrity. He will be missed by all who knew him. My prayers and condolences to Chris, Mike and family.” — Former NFL agent and Patriots executive Jack Mula
  • “Really sorry to hear about Bobby’s passing. He was one of the best personnel guys I was around. Great judge of character — that he always said went hand in hand with a player’s ability and made the player a great teammate. He was a man that I always learned something (from) just sitting and talking with him, whether it was football or just life. When he addressed the staff, his voice carried and got the entire room’s attention. He will be missed.” — Former Texans and Broncos scout Bob Beers
  • “I’ve known Bobby for years. As a college coach, he was excellent. Excellent coach, excellent as a teacher at a very good level at Boston College, excellent as an evaluator of talent. Top-notch. Understood the big picture about building a team. He was a common-sense person, and he was always very thorough in his work. When he became available (for the Texans), I didn’t need to interview him. I knew him, and we just talked about the job. He said he came with us because I was the first one to call him. I actually tried to interview Chris a ways back, too, and didn’t get him. Bobby was very professional, and I thought he did a great job in New England. It’s a shame that they let him go, but I’m glad we had the opportunity to hire him.” — Former Redskins and Texans GM Charley Casserly
  • “The Texans scouting department was at one end of the team’s offices, basically a big square that had two large college and pro scouting rooms in the center with staff offices around it. My office was at one corner by the hallway that led to the rest of the corporate and coaches offices, and Bobby had an office in the opposite corner, in essence the farthest corner of all the Texans offices. During my time with the Texans, I along with a regular stream of GMs, head coaches, personnel directors, coordinators, coaches, scouts, administrative assistants, our travel agent, and especially interns, would go to Bobby’s office on what seemed to be a daily basis to visit with him, seek his counsel and wisdom (and enjoy) his friendship and company. It did not matter what position the person held on the team — he was always approachable, friendly, with a wealth of wisdom and knowledge that he would share freely. He had the rare gift in our profession of being so knowledgable, with such wisdom, while being objective and having perspective during stressful processes, while all the while being himself, a truly good and kind person with a great sense of humor. I have not met many people like Bobby in the many years I spent working in NFL front offices. He was special.” — Former Texans executive and Jets GM Mike Maccagnan
  • “As you are talking to people about Bobby, and they don’t mention him talking about his love for his family, you can question the source. We became closer when I left the NFL and he moved to Massachusetts. I got the pleasure of speaking to him for hours about life, football and the most important part of his life, his family. Every time I got off the phone, my soul just felt better. We talked about him raising his boys in the Boston area and how they were a real hockey family. His wife Wendy would take them from sun up to sun down around the city playing hockey and the lessons the ice and their competition taught the boys about life. Some lessons were difficult, but the boys always understood that no matter what, their family was going to be on their sides.” — Former head of Texans public relations Kevin Cooper

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Ask The Scouts: Which QB Has Surprised You Most?

When we did our sweep of way-too-early first-round mock drafts in June, there were eight QBs who were given at least some first-round consideration by one of the seven services we monitor. Three months later, I bet there would be far less love for some of them. LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier, Clemson’s Cade Klubnik and Texas’ Arch Manning haven’t shone as brightly as many expected. On the other hand, Oklahoma’s John Mateer and Vanderbilt’s Diego Pavia may not have entered the season with much acclaim, but they’re each building it these days.

I asked several of my former NFL scouting friends which QB has surprised them the most — good or bad — this season. This is what they told me.

“Biggest surprise would be Arch Manning’s mechanics. If the Mannings are known for anything, it is their fundamentals and mechanics. Arch is using different arm angles that are forcing him to spin the ball unnaturally, almost like a baseball pitcher would spin a slider or forkball.  This must change or the outcome of his throws won’t. He is not the most naturally gifted, arm-wise, but must rely on accuracy and ball placement to have ultimate success. A big revelation  is CJ Bailey from North Carolina State. I have watched Bailey three times now. He is a tall, athletic QB with an easy spin and delivery of the ball. He is completing over 70% of his passes and protecting the ball very well while leading his team to a 3-0 record over East Carolina, Wake Forest and Virginia. He hasn’t played a gimme game yet, but he’s having a lot of success for such a young signal-caller. Another QB I really like is Julian Sayin from Ohio State, a highly recruited player that first arrived at Alabama and transferred when Nick Saban retired.  Alabama will regret letting this one leave. Sayin has a very good arm; he’s a very talented passer with a catchable ball and easy spin. Good athlete in the pocket. With the talent around him he will shine.” — Blake Beddingfield, former Titans scouting executive  

Diego Pavia for his leadership. He has limitations, but he’s got the “it factor” and presence that teammates will follow. Sometimes belief carries a team past their limitations.” — Mark Gorscak, scout (retired), Steelers

“When you consider the hype and expectations, there is not a more disappointing player in college football right now than Arch Manning. It hasn’t been pretty and there has been much speculation about Arch playing through an injury. I’m not sure Sark’s press conferences are doing him any favors in terms of fanning the flames. Will be one of the more interesting storylines to watch this year.” — Ric Serritella, former CFL and all-star executive and founder, All Access Football

“Arch Manning for me. I expected Sark’s offense to really fit him well and lead to a good season. Overall, they have been a disappointing team. Offensively, just unable to do a ton, and that starts with the QB.” — Rodrik David, former scout, Falcons & Titans

We’ll have the latest on which schools are excelling on school visits and which ones aren’t, plus we’ll look at other information related to the scouting industry in the Friday Wrap. It’s free! Register here.

What To Do If You Failed the Agent Exam Twice

The day that the NFL Agent Exam results come out — in this case, last Thursday — is a very exciting one. It’s an awesome feeling to see some of the hundreds of people we work with during the pre-exam phase realize they are going to get to live their dreams, and I get to share that celebration with them.

On the other hand, for those who get bad news, there’s pretty much nothing to say to minimize the pain. That’s especially true of those who fail for a second time and who are staring at a five-year wait (and another $2500) just to try again.

Today, I’ve given a lot of thought to what to tell those people. Here’s what I came up with.

Don’t let this defeat you. Let’s start here. If you are even qualified to take the exam, you have a secondary degree and a clean record financially and criminally. This means there are a lot of things you can do in life. We estimate that about a quarter of test-takers pass on the first try and about half pass on the second try. This is easily the toughest agent exam of the four majors. If you come up short, you are far from alone, and you shouldn’t let this define you.

Consider an appeal. The testing service the NFLPA uses is far from perfect, and I’ve heard of at least one new agent who passed despite long delays (including two complete computer shutdowns in the last hour of taking the exam). I also heard about odd experiences at the testing center in July (like site officials disallowing materials the NFLPA clearly allows). If this was you, don’t be a martyr. I think you have 30 days to appeal the results. Don’t mess around. Hire an attorney if needed.

Really decide if you want to stay on this journey. There is no shame in turning around. This business eats people alive. You have talent. Decide if you want to use it on people who, in many cases, will not appreciate you. I’m just trying to be honest.

Take a sales job somewhere. For new agents, the job is not really about negotiation (popular misconception). It’s about sales. You’re selling yourself. If there’s one reason why most agents fail, it’s because they are not comfortable with the vagaries of talking to others, listening to them, figuring out their hopes and fears, and addressing them . . . which is pretty much what sales is. You won’t be able to succeed in this industry without sales talent. Oh, and one other thing.

Save your money. The other main reason people fail in this industry is lack of resources. You’re looking at $10,000, minimum, to get one player ready for the draft these days (or at least one who’s worth representing). Believe me, people try to do it without money, but the overwhelming majority fail. Go out and try to save $20,000-$30,000 in the next five years, and then come back ready for war.

Embrace life as an NIL agent. If you want to really see what this business looks like, go out and try to represent high school and college players seeking to make money in the portal or otherwise. We are in a truly unique time when there’s a chance to make lots of money representing players in a largely unregulated environment with almost no start-up costs. Success is about seizing opportunities, and there’s lots of opportunity on the NIL front. You might even realize you’re good at it and decide you don’t need to work on the NFL side. Really. That might happen.

If you’re in this difficult but select group, I hope you found this helpful and maybe even a little encouraging. I have some idea of what you went through to get here, and can only imagine the frustration. But you can still make something great happen. Just give yourself a chance.